Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000673 0.000771 0.000874 0.000992 0.001122 0.001261 0.001419
2025-04-13 0.000510 0.000643 0.000794 0.000976 0.001191 0.001432 0.001724
2025-04-20 0.000442 0.000592 0.000771 0.000998 0.001274 0.001595 0.001995
2025-04-27 0.000386 0.000548 0.000749 0.001013 0.001344 0.001741 0.002248
2025-05-04 0.000332 0.000498 0.000712 0.001001 0.001375 0.001836 0.002437
2025-05-11 0.000285 0.000451 0.000672 0.000982 0.001392 0.001910 0.002599
2025-05-18 0.000257 0.000426 0.000660 0.000995 0.001449 0.002033 0.002823
2025-05-25 0.000231 0.000400 0.000642 0.000998 0.001491 0.002136 0.003024
2025-06-01 0.000198 0.000361 0.000602 0.000966 0.001484 0.002173 0.003136
2025-06-08 0.000170 0.000327 0.000566 0.000937 0.001477 0.002207 0.003244
2025-06-15 0.000153 0.000307 0.000549 0.000935 0.001505 0.002289 0.003417
2025-06-22 0.000138 0.000289 0.000535 0.000933 0.001534 0.002372 0.003591
2025-06-29 0.000122 0.000269 0.000515 0.000924 0.001551 0.002440 0.003750
2025-07-06 0.000107 0.000248 0.000491 0.000906 0.001556 0.002490 0.003882
2025-07-13 0.000100 0.000242 0.000492 0.000928 0.001619 0.002623 0.004135
2025-07-20 0.000093 0.000233 0.000489 0.000941 0.001670 0.002740 0.004367
2025-07-27 0.000082 0.000218 0.000471 0.000930 0.001682 0.002800 0.004517
2025-08-03 0.000072 0.000201 0.000450 0.000912 0.001680 0.002840 0.004638
2025-08-10 0.000067 0.000194 0.000448 0.000924 0.001728 0.002954 0.004869
2025-08-17 0.000061 0.000186 0.000440 0.000927 0.001761 0.003044 0.005067
2025-08-24 0.000052 0.000169 0.000415 0.000898 0.001739 0.003051 0.005141
2025-08-31 0.000045 0.000153 0.000391 0.000870 0.001719 0.003059 0.005215
2025-09-07 0.000040 0.000145 0.000382 0.000868 0.001740 0.003132 0.005388